「第五屆國民議會議員選舉」:修訂間差異
無編輯摘要 |
無編輯摘要 |
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| (未顯示由 3 位使用者於中間所作的 9 次修訂) | |||
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| previous_mps = | | previous_mps = | ||
| election_date = 2025年3月8日 | | election_date = 2025年3月8日 | ||
| next_election = | | next_election = 第六屆國民議會議員選舉 | ||
| next_year = | | next_year = 2026/2 | ||
| seats_for_election = 國民議會所有席次,共15席 | | seats_for_election = 國民議會所有席次,共15席 | ||
| registered=54 | | registered = 54 | ||
| majority_seats = 8 | | majority_seats = 8 | ||
| opinion_polls = | | opinion_polls = | ||
| turnout = | | turnout = | ||
| image1 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | | image1 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | ||
| leader1 = [[ | | leader1 = [[江誠佑]] | ||
| leader_since1 = | | leader_since1 = 2024年2月 | ||
| | | party1 = [[蒙聯維新會]] | ||
| | | colour1 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|MIP|no}} | ||
| leaders_seat1 = [[國民議會第一選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第一選舉區]] | |||
| last_election1 = 3 | | last_election1 = 3 | ||
| seats_before1 = 3 | | seats_before1 = 3 | ||
| seats1 = 4 | |||
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 1 | |||
| alliance1 = | | alliance1 = | ||
| popular_vote1 = | | popular_vote1 = | ||
| percentage1 = | | percentage1 = | ||
| swing1 = | | swing1 = | ||
| image2 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | |||
| leader2 = [[鄭延誠]] | |||
| party2 = [[公民聯盟]] | |||
| color2 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|CVU|no}} | |||
| leader_since2 = 2024年4月21日 | |||
| leaders_seat2 = [[國民議會第二選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第二選舉區]] | |||
| last_election2 = 4 | |||
| seats_before2 = 4 | |||
| seats2 = 4 | |||
| seat_change2 = {{steady}} | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| swing2 = | |||
| image3 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | |||
| leader3 = [[李齊洋]] | |||
| leader_since3 = 2023年3月28日 | |||
| party3 = [[中間派與獨立人士]] | |||
| color3 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|CAI|no}} | |||
| leaders_seat3 = [[國民議會第二選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第二選舉區]] | |||
| last_election3 = 3 | |||
| seats_before3 = 3 | |||
| seats3 = 3 | |||
| seat_change3 = {{steady}} | |||
| popular_vote3 = | |||
| percentage3 = | |||
| image4 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | |||
| leader4 = [[莊在安]] | |||
| leader_since4 = 2021年6月1日 | |||
| color4 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|POC|no}} | |||
| party4 = [[科紐瓦與新韓志保守黨|保守黨]] | |||
| leaders_seat4 = [[國民議會第二選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第二選舉區]] | |||
| last_election4 = 3 | |||
| seats_before4 = 3 | |||
| alliance4 = | |||
| seats4 = 2 | |||
| seat_change4 = {{decrease}} 1 | |||
| popular_vote4 = | |||
| percentage4 = | |||
| swing4 = | |||
| image5 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | | image5 = [[File:No-profile2.jpg|100x100px]] | ||
| 第49行: | 第77行: | ||
| leader_since5 = 2024年1月1日 | | leader_since5 = 2024年1月1日 | ||
| party5 = [[新右翼黨]] | | party5 = [[新右翼黨]] | ||
| leaders_seat5 = | | leaders_seat5 = [[國民議會第一選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第一選舉區]] | ||
| color5 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|NRW|no}} | | color5 = {{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|NRW|no}} | ||
| last_election5 = 0 | | last_election5 = 0 | ||
| seats_before5 = 0 | | seats_before5 = 0 | ||
| seats5 = | | seats5 = 1 | ||
| seat_change5 = | | seat_change5 = {{increase}} 1 | ||
| popular_vote5 = | | popular_vote5 = | ||
| percentage5 = | | percentage5 = | ||
| swing5 = | | swing5 = | ||
| image6 = [[File:何韋臣官方元首肖像照.jpg|100px]] | |||
| image6 = [[File:何韋臣官方元首肖像照.jpg| | |||
| leader6 = [[何韋臣]] | | leader6 = [[何韋臣]] | ||
| leader_since6 = 2025年 | | leader_since6 = 2025年 | ||
| party6 = [[自由保守黨]] | | party6 = [[自由保守黨]] | ||
| colour6={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|FCP|no}} | | colour6={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|FCP|no}} | ||
| leaders_seat6 = | | leaders_seat6 = ''不參選''<ref>聯邦總統不得參選國民議會</ref> | ||
| last_election6 = | | last_election6 = 0 | ||
| seats_before6 = | | seats_before6 = 0 | ||
| seats6 = | | seats6 = 1 | ||
| seat_change6 = | | seat_change6 = {{increase}} 1 | ||
| alliance6 = | | alliance6 = | ||
| popular_vote6 = | | popular_vote6 = | ||
| percentage6 = | | percentage6 = | ||
| swing6 = | | swing6 = | ||
| map_image = | | map_image = | ||
| 第129行: | 第129行: | ||
!align="center" width=40%|第4屆 | !align="center" width=40%|第4屆 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|[[國民議會第一選舉區|第一選舉區]] | |[[國民議會第一選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第一選舉區]] | ||
|align="center" colspan="1"|[[漢孜高瓦自由邦]]及[[聯邦首都領地]]共2行政區。 | |align="center" colspan="1"|[[漢孜高瓦自由邦]]及[[聯邦首都領地]]共2行政區。 | ||
|蒙特漢維亞政府所轄全境。 | |蒙特漢維亞政府所轄全境。 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|[[國民議會第二選舉區|第二選舉區]] | |[[國民議會第二選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第二選舉區]] | ||
|align="center" colspan="1"|[[瓦倫克爾自由邦]]共一行政區。 | |align="center" colspan="1"|[[瓦倫克爾自由邦]]共一行政區。 | ||
| 瓦倫克爾政府所轄全境。 | | 瓦倫克爾政府所轄全境。 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|[[國民議會國家邦聯選舉區|國家邦聯選舉區]] | |[[國民議會國家邦聯選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|國家邦聯選舉區]] | ||
|align="center" colspan="1"|[[大西威與紐克蘭多]]、[[波爾維亞納]]、[[修適士領地]]及[[主權領土集體]]等國家邦聯成員國。 | |align="center" colspan="1"|[[大西威與紐克蘭多]]、[[波爾維亞納]]、[[修適士領地]]及[[主權領土集體]]等國家邦聯成員國。 | ||
| 廢止。 | | 廢止。 | ||
|- | |- | ||
|[[國民議會第三選舉區|第三選舉區]] | |[[國民議會第三選舉區(蒙萊納瓦聯邦)|第三選舉區]] | ||
|align="center" colspan="1"|未設立。 | |align="center" colspan="1"|未設立。 | ||
|大西威政府所轄全境。 | |大西威政府所轄全境。 | ||
| 第157行: | 第157行: | ||
! align="center" width="75" |候選人數 | ! align="center" width="75" |候選人數 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #01A8EC;" |[[公民聯盟]]||3|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #01A8EC;" |[[公民聯盟]]||3||4||bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''7''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #FF7F02;" |[[蒙萊納瓦保守黨]]|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #FF7F02;" |[[蒙萊納瓦保守黨]]||4||4|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''8''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #FFBE00;" |[[蒙聯維新會]]|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #FFBE00;" |[[蒙聯維新會]]||3||4|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''7''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #396100;" |[[中間派與獨立人士]]|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #396100;" |[[中間派與獨立人士]]||3||1|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''4''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #484891;" |[[新右翼黨]]|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #484891;" |[[新右翼黨]]||2||2|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''4''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #484891;" |[自由保守黨]]|| | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #484891;" |[[自由保守黨]]||1||2|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''3''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #000000;" |無黨籍||0||{{N/A}}|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''0''' | | align="left" style="border-right:4px solid #000000;" |無黨籍||0||{{N/A}}|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''0''' | ||
|-style="border-top:2px solid #999999;" bgcolor=#EEEEEE | |-style="border-top:2px solid #999999;" bgcolor=#EEEEEE | ||
| align="left" |'''候選人數總計'''||''''''||''''''|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''''' | | align="left" |'''候選人數總計'''||'''16'''||'''17'''|| bgcolor="#eeeeee" |'''33''' | ||
|} | |} | ||
| 第275行: | 第275行: | ||
| {{N/A}} | | {{N/A}} | ||
| style="background:#FFBE00; color:white" |'''5.27%''' | | style="background:#FFBE00; color:white" |'''5.27%''' | ||
|} | |||
== 出口民調 == | |||
根據[[蒙萊納瓦通訊社]]所發佈之出口民調,第五屆國民議會將成為懸持議會,意即無任何政黨獲得過半數席位。 | |||
=== 總席次預測 === | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; | |||
|- | |||
! rowspan=2 | | |||
![[公民聯盟]] | |||
![[蒙聯維新會]] | |||
![[蒙萊納瓦保守黨]] | |||
![[中間派與獨立人士]] | |||
![[自由保守黨]] | |||
![[新右翼黨]] | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#01A8EC;"| | |||
| style="background:#FFBE00;"| | |||
| style="background:#FF7F02;"| | |||
| style="background:#396100;"| | |||
| style="background:#EA5405;"| | |||
| style="background:#004A77;"| | |||
|- | |||
! 蒙聯通訊社 | |||
| '''4''' | |||
| '''4''' | |||
| 3 | |||
| 2 | |||
| '''1''' | |||
| '''1''' | |||
|- | |||
! 實際結果 | |||
!4 | |||
!4 | |||
!2 | |||
!3 | |||
!1 | |||
!1 | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="15" | 粗體字表示預測正確 | |||
|} | |} | ||
== 選舉結果 == | == 選舉結果 == | ||
=== 綜合結果 === | |||
{| style="width:100%; text-align:center;" | |||
|+ ↓ | |||
|- style="color:white;" | |||
| style="background:#FFBE00; width:26.6%;" | '''4席''' | |||
| style="background:{{Party_meta/color/公民聯盟}}; width:26.6%;" | '''4席''' | |||
| style="background:#396100; width:20.0%;" | '''3席''' | |||
| style="background:#484891; width:6.6%;" | '''1席''' | |||
| style="background:#FFBE00; width:13.3%;" | '''2席''' | |||
| style="background:#484891; width:6.6%;" | '''1席''' | |||
|- | |||
| {{colour|#FFBE00|'''蒙聯維新會'''}} | |||
| {{colour|{{Party_meta/color/公民聯盟}}|'''公民聯盟'''}} | |||
| {{colour|#396100|'''中間派與獨立人士'''}} | |||
| {{colour|#484891|'''自由保守黨'''}} | |||
| {{colour|{{Party_meta/color/保守黨}}|'''保守黨'''}} | |||
| {{colour|#484891|'''新右翼黨'''}} | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable collapsible autocollapse" style=text-align:right | |||
!colspan=7 align=center|2025年第五屆國民議會議員選舉結果 | |||
|- | |||
!colspan=2 rowspan=2 |政黨 | |||
!colspan=3 |得票 | |||
!colspan=2|議席 | |||
|- | |||
!得票數 | |||
!得票率 | |||
!得票比例圖表 | |||
!當選席次 | |||
!當選席次比例圖表 | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|POC|no}}| ||align=left|[[蒙聯維新會]]||12||34.29%||{{percentage bar|34.29||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|POC|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||4席||{{Infobox political party/seats|4|15|hex={{Party meta/color/保守黨}}}} | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{Party meta/color/公民聯盟}}| ||align=left|[[科紐瓦與新韓志公民聯盟|公民聯盟]]||10||28.57%||{{percentage bar|28.57||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|CVU|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||4席||{{Infobox political party/seats|4|15|hex={{Party meta/color/公民聯盟}}}} | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|CAI|no}}| ||align=left|[[中間派與獨立人士]]||12||34.29%||{{percentage bar|34.29||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|CAI|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||3席||{{Infobox political party/seats|3|15|hex={{Party meta/color/保守黨}}}} | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|POC|no}}| ||align=left|[[科紐瓦與新韓志保守黨|保守黨]]||12||34.29%||{{percentage bar|34.29||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|POC|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||2席||{{Infobox political party/seats|2|15|hex={{Party meta/color/保守黨}}}} | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|SLP|no}}| ||align=left|[[社會自由與團結]]||5||14.29%||{{percentage bar|14.29||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|SLP|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||1席||{{Infobox political party/seats|1|15|hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|SLP|no}}}} | |||
|- | |||
|bgcolor={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|DNT|no}}| ||align=left|[[尊嚴]]||2||5.71%||{{percentage bar|5.71||hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|DNT|no}}|border-color=#c0c0c0|background-color=#f0f0f0}}||1席||{{Infobox political party/seats|1|15|hex={{紐新聯邦政黨色彩|SLP|no}}}} | |||
|} | |||
== 選後 == | == 選後 == | ||
| 第284行: | 第370行: | ||
== 參見 == | == 參見 == | ||
{{蒙萊納瓦聯邦選舉}} | |||